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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

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We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

ROC → JFK

Rochester to New York: 600 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

82%

Cancelled

3.5%

avg delay 15 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 50% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

JetBlue

79% chance on time

Check ROC to JFK fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $121 (JetBlue 1285 on 2026-11-12). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Best trips

4 nonstop. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.

  1. Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 26m

    6:30 AM → 7:56 AM

    81%

    arrive on time

    6:30 AM ROC → 7:56 AM JFK1h 26m

    JetBlue 1285

    Airbus A320 or A220-300 · 1–24 yrs old
    84% on time · 4.0% cancel
    Find JetBlue 1285 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Nonstop · 1h 18m

    9:50 AM → 11:08 AM

    81%

    arrive on time

    9:50 AM ROC → 11:08 AM JFK1h 18m

    JetBlue 1385

    Airbus A220-300 or A320 · 1–21 yrs old
    84% on time · 3.5% cancel
    Find JetBlue 1385 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Nonstop · 1h 21m

    6:10 AM → 7:31 AM

    81%

    arrive on time

    6:10 AM ROC → 7:31 AM JFK1h 21m

    JetBlue 185

    Airbus A320 · 2–24 yrs old
    84% on time · 4.3% cancel
    Find JetBlue 185 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Nonstop · 1h 32m

    10:52 AM → 12:24 PM

    77%

    arrive on time

    10:52 AM ROC → 12:24 PM JFK1h 32m

    JetBlue 485

    Airbus A220-300 · 1–4 yrs old
    79% on time · 2.1% cancel
    Find JetBlue 485 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • JetBlue79%

    600 flights · 82% on time as flown · 3.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    364 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    54 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    124 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM50%

    58 flights · avg delay 47 min

Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (76%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • BUF → EWR 85% chance on time

    Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 399 flights a year · 76 mi from your airports · yours: 79%

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure