ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
ROC → DCA
Rochester to Washington: 1,051 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
68%
Cancelled
5.5%
avg delay 35 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 47% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Envoy
72% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $266 (American 5535 on 2026-11-13). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
8 nonstop. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 27m
5:15 AM → 6:42 AM
82%
arrive on time
87% on time · 5.5% cancel5:15 AM ROC → 6:42 AM DCA1h 27m
Republic 4796 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind 5:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 1h 25m
5:20 AM → 6:45 AM
78%
arrive on time
82% on time · 5.3% cancel5:20 AM ROC → 6:45 AM DCA1h 25m
PSA 5351 · sold as American Eagle · also flew as 5535
Bombardier CRJ700 · 10–23 yrs oldFind 5:20 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Nonstop · 1h 28m
11:51 AM → 1:19 PM
63%
arrive on time
66% on time · 5.4% cancel11:51 AM ROC → 1:19 PM DCA1h 28m
PSA 5374 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 16–25 yrs oldFind 11:51 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Nonstop · 1h 29m
5:46 PM → 7:15 PM
60%
arrive on time
64% on time · 6.1% cancel5:46 PM ROC → 7:15 PM DCA1h 29m
Republic 4800 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind 5:46 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
12:10 PM → 1:40 PM
57%
arrive on time
60% on time · 4.5% cancel12:10 PM ROC → 1:40 PM DCA1h 30m
PSA 5661 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–16 yrs oldFind 12:10 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Nonstop · 1h 26m
12:18 PM → 1:44 PM
56%
arrive on time
61% on time · 7.1% cancel12:18 PM ROC → 1:44 PM DCA1h 26m
PSA 5175 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ900 · 9–22 yrs oldFind 12:18 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Nonstop · 1h 32m
5:43 PM → 7:15 PM
49%
arrive on time
52% on time · 5.9% cancel5:43 PM ROC → 7:15 PM DCA1h 32m
PSA 5409 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ900 or CRJ700 · 10–22 yrs oldFind 5:43 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
5:29 PM → 6:59 PM
41%
arrive on time
43% on time · 6.0% cancel5:29 PM ROC → 6:59 PM DCA1h 30m
PSA 5375 · sold as American Eagle · also flew as 5546
Bombardier CRJ700 or CRJ900 · 9–25 yrs oldFind 5:29 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)72%
88 flights · 84% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)71%
159 flights · 77% on time as flown · 5.9% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)61%
804 flights · 64% on time as flown · 5.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
331 flights · avg delay 16 min
- 9 AM to noon71%
218 flights · avg delay 37 min
- Noon to 3 PM61%
148 flights · avg delay 35 min
- 3 to 6 PM47%
328 flights · avg delay 55 min
Best day: Saturday (83%). Worst: Friday (73%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BUF → BWI 85% chance on time
Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 1,732 flights a year · 85 mi from your airports · yours: 64%
ROC → BWI 81% chance on time
Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 1,104 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 64%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
