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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

PHX → PAE

Phoenix to Everett: 635 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

86%

Cancelled

1.1%

avg delay 9 min

Best time to leave

6 to 9 PM

93% on time vs 63% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Alaska

87% chance on time

Check PHX to PAE fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Alaska 731

    2:19 PM → 5:31 PM3h 12m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (247 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Strong track record · 247 flights

    Find Alaska 731 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Alaska 514

    8:46 PM → 11:59 PM3h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-12.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (196 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 93% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 196 flights

    Find Alaska 514 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Alaska Airlines87%

    585 flights · 88% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines77%

    50 flights · 65% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    40 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 9 AM to noon91%

    134 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • Noon to 3 PM88%

    252 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 3 to 6 PM63%

    46 flights · avg delay 41 min

  • 6 to 9 PM93%

    77 flights · avg delay 3 min

  • After 9 PM81%

    86 flights · avg delay 13 min

Best day: Saturday (90%). Worst: Monday (84%).

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure