Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

PHX → OAK

Phoenix to Oakland: 1,948 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

0.4%

avg delay 13 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

94% on time vs 59% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

76% chance on time

Check PHX to OAK fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 1600

    8:05 AM → 10:20 AM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 1600 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 3832

    5:05 AM → 7:05 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    97%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 97% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 31 flights

    Find Southwest 3832 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 1787

    5:50 AM → 8:00 AM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find Southwest 1787 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 4236

    4:05 PM → 6:15 PM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 4236 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 4151

    9:35 AM → 11:50 AM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 15 flights

    Find Southwest 4151 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 1050

    11:30 AM → 1:30 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 1050 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 1246

    1:55 PM → 3:50 PM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 1246 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 3834

    10:05 AM → 12:10 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (31 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 31 flights

    Find Southwest 3834 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 4624

    2:20 PM → 4:25 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 4624 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 1188

    7:20 PM → 9:25 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 67% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 1188 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines76%

    1,948 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM94%

    411 flights · avg delay 3 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    299 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    262 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM76%

    361 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 6 to 9 PM62%

    396 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • After 9 PM59%

    219 flights · avg delay 23 min

Best day: Tuesday (82%). Worst: Thursday (74%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • PHX → SJC 79% chance on time

    Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport to Norman Y. Mineta San Jose International Airport · 3,038 flights a year · 29 mi from your airports · yours: 76%

    Rank flightsFares

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure