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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

PHX → CLD

Phoenix to Carlsbad: 748 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

85%

Cancelled

1.5%

avg delay 9 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

89% on time vs 79% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

84% chance on time

Check PHX to CLD fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $235 (American 4021 on 2026-10-21). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 3464 · sold as American Eagle

    10:28 AM → 11:48 AM1h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Envoy 3509, 3513; its record covers all of them.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (85 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 85 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 89% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 79%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 85 flights

    Find 10:28 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 4154 · sold as American Eagle

    9:15 PM → 10:28 PM1h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 9:15 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Envoy 4204 · sold as American Eagle

    3:00 PM → 4:13 PM1h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (136 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 136 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 79% on time; 9 AM to noon: 89%).
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 136 flights

    Find 3:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Envoy 4236 · sold as American Eagle

    6:27 PM → 7:40 PM1h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (54 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find 6:27 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Envoy 4021 · sold as American Eagle

    5:41 PM → 7:00 PM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (206 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 79% on time; 9 AM to noon: 89%).
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Strong track record · 206 flights

    Find 5:41 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)84%

    748 flights · 85% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon89%

    363 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 3 to 6 PM79%

    322 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 6 to 9 PM85%

    52 flights · avg delay 8 min

Best day: Wednesday (92%). Worst: Thursday (80%).

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure