ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
PAE → LAS
Everett to Las Vegas: 447 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
87%
Cancelled
0.9%
avg delay 9 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
96% on time vs 79% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Alaska
89% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Alaska 777
6:28 PM → 9:00 PM2h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
92%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 94%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 94% of the time (144 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 144 scheduled flights.
Moderate track record · 144 flights
Find Alaska 777 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Alaska 380
8:20 AM → 10:52 AM2h 32m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-20.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 79%).
- Lands inside LAS's trouble window: 51% of its 104 ground stops and delay programs started between 10 AM and 4 PM.
- Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 53 flights
Find Alaska 380 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Alaska 1448
7:00 AM → 9:38 AM2h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-17.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 2.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 79%).
- Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 33 flights
Find Alaska 1448 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Alaska 218
6:46 PM → 9:19 PM2h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-11.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 12 flights
Find Alaska 218 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Alaska Airlines89%
391 flights · 90% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
- Frontier Airlines77%
56 flights · 64% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM96%
154 flights · avg delay 3 min
- 9 AM to noon86%
51 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM79%
59 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 6 to 9 PM84%
167 flights · avg delay 10 min
Best day: Saturday (95%). Worst: Friday (75%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
