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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

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We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

ORF → JFK

Norfolk to New York: 733 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

81%

Cancelled

6.0%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

90% on time vs 74% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

77% chance on time

Check ORF to JFK fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $310 (American 4453 on 2026-10-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Best trips

2 nonstop, 12 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.

  1. Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 25m

    9:05 AM → 10:30 AM

    84%

    arrive on time

    9:05 AM ORF → 10:30 AM JFK1h 25m

    Republic 4336 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    88% on time · 4.7% cancel
    Find 9:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Nonstop · 1h 35m

    4:54 PM → 6:29 PM

    75%

    arrive on time

    4:54 PM ORF → 6:29 PM JFK1h 35m

    Republic 4359 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express · also flew as 4360

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    81% on time · 6.7% cancel
    Find 4:54 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · 1 connection · 6h 16m · one ticket (American)

    6:00 AM → 12:16 PM

    89%

    connections made

    75%

    arrive on time

    6:00 AM ORF → 6:59 AM DCA59m

    PSA 5520 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–12 yrs old
    90% on time · 2.9% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 4h 01m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    11:00 AM DCA → 12:16 PM JFK1h 16m

    Republic 5750 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 18–19 yrs old
    83% on time · 5.1% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5520 + Republic 5750 on Aviasales
  4. #4 · 1 connection · 6h 01m · one ticket (American)

    6:15 AM → 12:16 PM

    87%

    connections made

    73%

    arrive on time

    6:15 AM ORF → 7:24 AM DCA1h 09m

    PSA 5084 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–11 yrs old
    82% on time · 3.2% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 3h 36m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    11:00 AM DCA → 12:16 PM JFK1h 16m

    Republic 5750 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 18–19 yrs old
    83% on time · 5.1% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5084 + Republic 5750 on Aviasales
  5. #5 · 1 connection · 5h 12m · one ticket (American)

    9:47 AM → 2:59 PM

    83%

    connections made

    67%

    arrive on time

    9:47 AM ORF → 11:00 AM DCA1h 13m

    PSA 5303 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ700 · 11–23 yrs old
    51% on time · 3.5% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 2h 25m · 90% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    1:25 PM DCA → 2:59 PM JFK1h 34m

    Republic 4628 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    80% on time · 4.6% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5303 + Republic 4628 on Aviasales
  6. #6 · 1 connection · 5h 32m · one ticket (American)

    9:47 AM → 3:19 PM

    84%

    connections made

    65%

    arrive on time

    9:47 AM ORF → 11:00 AM DCA1h 13m

    PSA 5303 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ700 · 11–23 yrs old
    51% on time · 3.5% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 2h 48m · 92% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    1:48 PM DCA → 3:19 PM JFK1h 31m

    Republic 4361 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    77% on time · 5.5% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5303 + Republic 4361 on Aviasales
  7. #7 · 1 connection · 7h 18m · one ticket (American)

    6:15 AM → 1:33 PM

    88%

    connections made

    69%

    arrive on time

    6:15 AM ORF → 7:24 AM DCA1h 09m

    PSA 5084 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–11 yrs old
    82% on time · 3.2% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 4h 40m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    12:04 PM DCA → 1:33 PM JFK1h 29m

    Republic 4476 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    78% on time · 5.8% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5084 + Republic 4476 on Aviasales
  8. #8 · 1 connection · 6h 12m · one ticket (American)

    2:08 PM → 8:20 PM

    85%

    connections made

    65%

    arrive on time

    2:08 PM ORF → 3:25 PM DCA1h 17m

    PSA 5388 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–24 yrs old
    57% on time · 2.9% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 3h 15m · 94% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    6:40 PM DCA → 8:20 PM JFK1h 40m

    Republic 4336 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    76% on time · 6.2% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5388 + Republic 4336 on Aviasales
  9. #9 · 1 connection · 5h 40m · one ticket (American)

    2:40 PM → 8:20 PM

    82%

    connections made

    62%

    arrive on time

    2:40 PM ORF → 3:52 PM DCA1h 12m

    PSA 5337 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–23 yrs old
    43% on time · 3.7% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 2h 48m · 90% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    6:40 PM DCA → 8:20 PM JFK1h 40m

    Republic 4336 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    76% on time · 6.2% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5337 + Republic 4336 on Aviasales
  10. #10 · 1 connection · 4h 14m · one ticket (American)

    11:05 AM → 3:19 PM

    73%

    connections made

    56%

    arrive on time

    11:05 AM ORF → 12:19 PM DCA1h 14m

    PSA 5336 · sold as American Eagle

    Bombardier CRJ700 · 11–24 yrs old
    68% on time · 3.4% cancel
    Connect in DCA · 1h 29m · 80% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    1:48 PM DCA → 3:19 PM JFK1h 31m

    Republic 4361 · sold as American Eagle

    Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs old
    77% on time · 5.5% cancel
    Find this American trip Look for PSA 5336 + Republic 4361 on Aviasales

Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)77%

    733 flights · 81% on time as flown · 6.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM90%

    200 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon89%

    156 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • 3 to 6 PM74%

    341 flights · avg delay 22 min

Best day: Wednesday (88%). Worst: Saturday (80%).

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure