ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
ORF → JFK
Norfolk to New York: 733 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
81%
Cancelled
6.0%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
90% on time vs 74% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
77% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $310 (American 4453 on 2026-10-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
2 nonstop, 12 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 25m
9:05 AM → 10:30 AM
84%
arrive on time
88% on time · 4.7% cancel9:05 AM ORF → 10:30 AM JFK1h 25m
Republic 4336 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind 9:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 1h 35m
4:54 PM → 6:29 PM
75%
arrive on time
81% on time · 6.7% cancel4:54 PM ORF → 6:29 PM JFK1h 35m
Republic 4359 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express · also flew as 4360
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind 4:54 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · 1 connection · 6h 16m · one ticket (American)
6:00 AM → 12:16 PM
89%
connections made
75%
arrive on time
90% on time · 2.9% cancel6:00 AM ORF → 6:59 AM DCA59m
PSA 5520 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–12 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 4h 01m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it83% on time · 5.1% cancel11:00 AM DCA → 12:16 PM JFK1h 16m
Republic 5750 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 18–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5520 + Republic 5750 on Aviasales#4 · 1 connection · 6h 01m · one ticket (American)
6:15 AM → 12:16 PM
87%
connections made
73%
arrive on time
82% on time · 3.2% cancel6:15 AM ORF → 7:24 AM DCA1h 09m
PSA 5084 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–11 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 3h 36m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it83% on time · 5.1% cancel11:00 AM DCA → 12:16 PM JFK1h 16m
Republic 5750 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 18–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5084 + Republic 5750 on Aviasales#5 · 1 connection · 5h 12m · one ticket (American)
9:47 AM → 2:59 PM
83%
connections made
67%
arrive on time
51% on time · 3.5% cancel9:47 AM ORF → 11:00 AM DCA1h 13m
PSA 5303 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 11–23 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 2h 25m · 90% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it80% on time · 4.6% cancel1:25 PM DCA → 2:59 PM JFK1h 34m
Republic 4628 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5303 + Republic 4628 on Aviasales#6 · 1 connection · 5h 32m · one ticket (American)
9:47 AM → 3:19 PM
84%
connections made
65%
arrive on time
51% on time · 3.5% cancel9:47 AM ORF → 11:00 AM DCA1h 13m
PSA 5303 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 11–23 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 2h 48m · 92% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it77% on time · 5.5% cancel1:48 PM DCA → 3:19 PM JFK1h 31m
Republic 4361 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5303 + Republic 4361 on Aviasales#7 · 1 connection · 7h 18m · one ticket (American)
6:15 AM → 1:33 PM
88%
connections made
69%
arrive on time
82% on time · 3.2% cancel6:15 AM ORF → 7:24 AM DCA1h 09m
PSA 5084 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–11 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 4h 40m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it78% on time · 5.8% cancel12:04 PM DCA → 1:33 PM JFK1h 29m
Republic 4476 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5084 + Republic 4476 on Aviasales#8 · 1 connection · 6h 12m · one ticket (American)
2:08 PM → 8:20 PM
85%
connections made
65%
arrive on time
57% on time · 2.9% cancel2:08 PM ORF → 3:25 PM DCA1h 17m
PSA 5388 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–24 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 3h 15m · 94% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it76% on time · 6.2% cancel6:40 PM DCA → 8:20 PM JFK1h 40m
Republic 4336 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5388 + Republic 4336 on Aviasales#9 · 1 connection · 5h 40m · one ticket (American)
2:40 PM → 8:20 PM
82%
connections made
62%
arrive on time
43% on time · 3.7% cancel2:40 PM ORF → 3:52 PM DCA1h 12m
PSA 5337 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–23 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 2h 48m · 90% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it76% on time · 6.2% cancel6:40 PM DCA → 8:20 PM JFK1h 40m
Republic 4336 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5337 + Republic 4336 on Aviasales#10 · 1 connection · 4h 14m · one ticket (American)
11:05 AM → 3:19 PM
73%
connections made
56%
arrive on time
68% on time · 3.4% cancel11:05 AM ORF → 12:19 PM DCA1h 14m
PSA 5336 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 11–24 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 1h 29m · 80% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it77% on time · 5.5% cancel1:48 PM DCA → 3:19 PM JFK1h 31m
Republic 4361 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for PSA 5336 + Republic 4361 on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)77%
733 flights · 81% on time as flown · 6.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM90%
200 flights · avg delay 11 min
- 9 AM to noon89%
156 flights · avg delay 9 min
- 3 to 6 PM74%
341 flights · avg delay 22 min
Best day: Wednesday (88%). Worst: Saturday (80%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
