ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
ORD → HPN
Chicago to White Plains: 1,477 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
77%
Cancelled
3.2%
avg delay 15 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
81% on time vs 75% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Envoy
75% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $187 (American 3752 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Envoy 3812 · sold as American Eagle
8:10 AM → 11:29 AM2h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 1.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (350 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 75%).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside HPN's trouble window: 67% of its 49 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Strong track record · 350 flights
Find 8:10 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Envoy 4112 · sold as American Eagle
2:41 PM → 6:00 PM2h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 2:41 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 4200 · sold as American Eagle
12:50 PM → 3:59 PM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 1.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (353 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside HPN's trouble window: 67% of its 49 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Strong track record · 353 flights
Find 12:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Envoy 3752 · sold as American Eagle
2:09 PM → 5:26 PM2h 17m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 2.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (197 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 197 flights
Find 2:09 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Envoy 4290 · sold as American Eagle
1:38 PM → 4:47 PM2h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 9.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (48 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 9.3% of the time (5 of 54).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside HPN's trouble window: 67% of its 49 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Limited track record · 48 flights
Find 1:38 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Envoy 3499 · sold as American Eagle
6:36 PM → 9:59 PM2h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 6.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (335 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.1% of the time (22 of 359).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 75% on time; Before 9 AM: 81%).
- Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Strong track record · 335 flights
Find 6:36 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)75%
1,477 flights · 77% on time as flown · 3.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM81%
355 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM77%
554 flights · avg delay 16 min
- 6 to 9 PM75%
568 flights · avg delay 16 min
Best day: Saturday (85%). Worst: Sunday (74%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure