ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
MSP → MDW
Minneapolis to Chicago: 2,598 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
79%
Cancelled
1.4%
avg delay 13 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
87% on time vs 71% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
79% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $196 (Southwest 3127 on 2026-11-11). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 1498
8:20 AM → 9:50 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 71%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MDW's trouble window: 50% of its 30 ground stops and delay programs started between 7 AM and 1 PM.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Southwest 1498 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 3465
5:20 AM → 6:50 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2860; its record covers all of them.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (85 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 71%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 85 flights
Find Southwest 3465 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 3457
10:30 AM → 12:00 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MDW's trouble window: 50% of its 30 ground stops and delay programs started between 7 AM and 1 PM.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find Southwest 3457 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 3466
10:20 AM → 11:50 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MDW's trouble window: 50% of its 30 ground stops and delay programs started between 7 AM and 1 PM.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 3466 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Southwest 3779
6:50 AM → 8:30 AM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 13.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 71%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MDW's trouble window: 50% of its 30 ground stops and delay programs started between 7 AM and 1 PM.
Limited track record · 13 flights
Find Southwest 3779 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · SkyWest 3795 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
7:00 AM → 8:46 AM1h 46m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 3778; its record covers all of them.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 1.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (325 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 71%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MDW's trouble window: 50% of its 30 ground stops and delay programs started between 7 AM and 1 PM.
Strong track record · 325 flights
Find 7:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 1290
2:45 PM → 4:15 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 80% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 27 flights
Find Southwest 1290 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · SkyWest 3792 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
11:49 AM → 1:25 PM1h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 1.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (104 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 104 flights
Find 11:49 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Southwest 3467
2:25 PM → 3:50 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 70% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 3467 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Southwest 3468
4:25 PM → 6:00 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 3904; its record covers all of them.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 72%
- Cancelled
- 2.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 72% of the time (76 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 71% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 63% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 76 flights
Find Southwest 3468 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines79%
1,620 flights · 80% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)76%
978 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
773 flights · avg delay 9 min
- 9 AM to noon81%
702 flights · avg delay 11 min
- Noon to 3 PM77%
252 flights · avg delay 12 min
- 3 to 6 PM71%
689 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 6 to 9 PM73%
182 flights · avg delay 15 min
Best day: Saturday (86%). Worst: Friday (79%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure