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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

MSP → JFK

Minneapolis to New York: 774 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

81%

Cancelled

1.3%

avg delay 17 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 72% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

80% chance on time

Check MSP to JFK fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2969

    7:10 AM → 11:00 AM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (198 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 72%).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 198 flights

    Find Delta 2969 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2661

    12:59 PM → 4:59 PM3h 04m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (255 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 255 flights

    Find Delta 2661 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2692

    7:59 PM → 11:55 PM2h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (239 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 72% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 239 flights

    Find Delta 2692 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines80%

    774 flights · 81% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    266 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM81%

    263 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • 6 to 9 PM72%

    243 flights · avg delay 22 min

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure