ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
MSN → EWR
Madison to Newark: 375 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
88%
Cancelled
2.9%
avg delay 13 min
Best time to leave
No clear winner
Most reliable airline
United
87% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
2 nonstop, 42 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 2h 21m
6:00 AM → 9:22 AM
88%
arrive on time
91% on time · 4.1% cancel6:00 AM MSN → 9:22 AM EWR2h 21m
Republic 3482 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express · also flew as 3412
Embraer E175 · 1–21 yrs oldFind 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 2h 20m
10:53 AM → 2:13 PM
84%
arrive on time
87% on time · 3.5% cancel10:53 AM MSN → 2:13 PM EWR2h 20m
Republic 3675 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 2–10 yrs oldFind 10:53 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · 1 connection · 5h 41m · one ticket (American)
6:45 AM → 1:26 PM
89%
connections made
77%
arrive on time
93% on time · 1.3% cancel6:45 AM MSN → 10:05 AM CLT2h 20m
American 1002
Airbus A320 or A321 · 11–27 yrs oldConnect in CLT · 1h 15m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it87% on time · 4.4% cancel11:20 AM CLT → 1:26 PM EWR2h 06m
Republic 3448 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 3–11 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for American 1002 + Republic 3448 on Aviasales#4 · 1 connection · 6h 00m · one ticket (Delta)
7:00 AM → 2:00 PM
91%
connections made
78%
arrive on time
91% on time · 1.5% cancel7:00 AM MSN → 9:16 AM DTW1h 16m
Delta 1106
Boeing 717 · 22–26 yrs oldConnect in DTW · 2h 55m · 98% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it86% on time · 5.4% cancel12:11 PM DTW → 2:00 PM EWR1h 49m
Republic 3706 · sold as Delta Connection
Embraer E175 · 1–11 yrs oldFind this Delta trip Look for Delta 1106 + Republic 3706 on Aviasales#5 · 1 connection · 6h 03m · one ticket
9:06 AM → 4:09 PM
89%
connections made
77%
arrive on time
86% on time · 1.0% cancel9:06 AM MSN → 10:19 AM MSP1h 13m
SkyWest 4010 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
Bombardier CRJ900 · 18–20 yrs oldConnect in MSP · 1h 56m · 94% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it87% on time · 4.8% cancel12:15 PM MSP → 4:09 PM EWR2h 54m
Republic 3584 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express · also flew as 3504
Embraer E175 · 1–11 yrs oldFind this one-ticket trip Look for SkyWest 4010 + Republic 3584 on Aviasales#6 · 1 connection · 5h 24m · one ticket (American)
6:45 AM → 1:09 PM
88%
connections made
75%
arrive on time
93% on time · 1.3% cancel6:45 AM MSN → 10:05 AM CLT2h 20m
American 1002
Airbus A320 or A321 · 11–27 yrs oldConnect in CLT · 1h 04m · 93% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it85% on time · 4.1% cancel11:09 AM CLT → 1:09 PM EWR2h 00m
Republic 3618 · sold as American Eagle · also flew as 3442
Embraer E175 · 1–11 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for American 1002 + Republic 3618 on Aviasales#7 · 1 connection · 5h 51m · one ticket (United)
8:30 AM → 3:21 PM
91%
connections made
74%
arrive on time
76% on time · 2.2% cancel8:30 AM MSN → 9:37 AM ORD1h 07m
United 1580
Boeing 737-800 · 10–27 yrs oldConnect in ORD · 2h 23m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it82% on time · 2.0% cancel12:00 PM ORD → 3:21 PM EWR2h 21m
United 2488
Boeing 737-900ER · 11–18 yrs oldFind this United trip Look for United 1580 + United 2488 on Aviasales#8 · 1 connection · 6h 11m · one ticket (United)
8:10 AM → 3:21 PM
91%
connections made
75%
arrive on time
75% on time · 2.2% cancel8:10 AM MSN → 9:20 AM ORD1h 10m
United 2151
Boeing 737-800 · 14–28 yrs oldConnect in ORD · 2h 40m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it82% on time · 2.0% cancel12:00 PM ORD → 3:21 PM EWR2h 21m
United 2488
Boeing 737-900ER · 11–18 yrs oldFind this United trip Look for United 2151 + United 2488 on Aviasales#9 · 1 connection · 4h 01m · one ticket (Delta)
7:00 AM → 12:03 PM
86%
connections made
68%
arrive on time
91% on time · 1.5% cancel7:00 AM MSN → 9:16 AM DTW1h 16m
Delta 1106
Boeing 717 · 22–26 yrs oldConnect in DTW · 1h 03m · 90% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it79% on time · 2.7% cancel10:19 AM DTW → 12:03 PM EWR1h 42m
Delta 2577
Boeing 717 · 21–27 yrs oldFind this Delta trip Look for Delta 1106 + Delta 2577 on Aviasales#10 · 1 connection · 5h 26m · one ticket (American)
7:00 AM → 1:26 PM
83%
connections made
72%
arrive on time
91% on time · 2.8% cancel7:00 AM MSN → 10:19 AM CLT2h 19m
American 2480
Airbus A320 · 21–28 yrs oldConnect in CLT · 1h 01m · 89% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it87% on time · 4.4% cancel11:20 AM CLT → 1:26 PM EWR2h 06m
Republic 3448 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 3–11 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for American 2480 + Republic 3448 on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- United Airlines87%
139 flights · 90% on time as flown · 1.9% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)84%
236 flights · 87% on time as flown · 3.7% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM88%
363 flights · avg delay 13 min
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
