ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
MHT → ORD
Manchester to Chicago: 565 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
78%
Cancelled
0.9%
avg delay 12 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 61% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Envoy
77% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $459 (American 4150 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Envoy 3970 · sold as American Eagle
6:46 AM → 8:50 AM3h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 43 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find 6:46 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Envoy 4150 · sold as American Eagle
6:57 AM → 8:57 AM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (160 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).
Moderate track record · 160 flights
Find 6:57 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 4220 · sold as American Eagle
12:12 PM → 2:11 PM2h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 12:12 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Envoy 3603 · sold as American Eagle
12:20 PM → 2:15 PM2h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 100% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 12:20 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Envoy 3798 · sold as American Eagle
5:41 PM → 7:51 PM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 4.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (46 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.2% of the time (2 of 48).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Limited track record · 46 flights
Find 5:41 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Envoy 3696 · sold as American Eagle
5:59 PM → 7:59 PM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 5:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)77%
565 flights · 78% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
208 flights · avg delay 5 min
- Noon to 3 PM80%
195 flights · avg delay 11 min
- 3 to 6 PM61%
138 flights · avg delay 25 min
Best day: Saturday (87%). Worst: Sunday (75%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
MHT → MDW 87% chance on time
Manchester-Boston Regional Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 512 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 77%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure