ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
LGA → SRQ
New York to Sarasota/Bradenton: 561 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
82%
Cancelled
5.0%
avg delay 15 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
91% on time vs 66% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
77% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2412
7:10 AM → 10:30 AM3h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 7.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (153 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 7.2% of the time (12 of 166).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 153 flights
Find Delta 2412 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 5862 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
8:15 AM → 11:25 AM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 8:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Delta 1602
2:55 PM → 6:11 PM3h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 22 flights
Find Delta 1602 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Delta 2348
3:39 PM → 7:02 PM3h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 71%
- Cancelled
- 6.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (85 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.6% of the time (6 of 91).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 66% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Moderate track record · 85 flights
Find Delta 2348 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines77%
541 flights · 81% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
202 flights · avg delay 6 min
- 9 AM to noon80%
174 flights · avg delay 19 min
- Noon to 3 PM79%
101 flights · avg delay 15 min
- 3 to 6 PM66%
84 flights · avg delay 26 min
Best day: Saturday (84%). Worst: Sunday (75%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
HPN → TPA 89% chance on time
Westchester County Airport to Tampa International Airport · 365 flights a year · 62 mi from your airports · yours: 77%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure