ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
LGA → MSP
New York to Minneapolis: 1,927 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
82%
Cancelled
2.7%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
92% on time vs 69% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
80% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2510
6:05 AM → 8:09 AM3h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 3.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (307 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.2% of the time (10 of 317).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 307 flights
Find Delta 2510 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 2473
7:55 AM → 10:04 AM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 2.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (348 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 348 flights
Find Delta 2473 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Delta 2409
11:39 AM → 1:49 PM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 2.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (356 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 356 flights
Find Delta 2409 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Delta 2349
2:59 PM → 5:07 PM3h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 361 flights
Find Delta 2349 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Delta 648
8:05 PM → 10:24 PM3h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 60%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 33 min
- Arrived on time 60% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 69% on time; Before 9 AM: 92%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 57% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find Delta 648 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Delta 2313
6:29 PM → 8:46 PM3h 13m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 31 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (353 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.0% of the time (11 of 364).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 69% on time; Before 9 AM: 92%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 353 flights
Find Delta 2313 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)80%
126 flights · 84% on time as flown · 4.4% cancel
- Delta Air Lines80%
1,801 flights · 82% on time as flown · 2.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM92%
743 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 9 AM to noon84%
373 flights · avg delay 10 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
221 flights · avg delay 17 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
202 flights · avg delay 27 min
- 6 to 9 PM69%
388 flights · avg delay 31 min
Best day: Saturday (89%). Worst: Monday (83%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure