ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
JFK → ORF
New York to Norfolk: 733 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
85%
Cancelled
4.2%
avg delay 10 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
92% on time vs 75% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
82% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $316 (American 4359 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
2 nonstop, 11 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 39m
11:40 AM → 1:19 PM
87%
arrive on time
89% on time · 3.3% cancel11:40 AM JFK → 1:19 PM ORF1h 39m
Republic 4509 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express · also flew as 4527
Embraer E170 or E175 · 12–21 yrs oldFind 11:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 1h 31m
2:50 PM → 4:21 PM
77%
arrive on time
82% on time · 5.4% cancel2:50 PM JFK → 4:21 PM ORF1h 31m
Republic 4359 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express · also flew as 4360
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldFind 2:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · 1 connection · 5h 09m · one ticket (American)
8:29 AM → 1:38 PM
90%
connections made
62%
arrive on time
79% on time · 4.0% cancel8:29 AM JFK → 9:59 AM DCA1h 30m
Republic 4538 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 2h 36m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it69% on time · 3.8% cancel12:35 PM DCA → 1:38 PM ORF1h 03m
PSA 5388 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–24 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 4538 + PSA 5388 on Aviasales#4 · 1 connection · 5h 02m · one ticket (American)
8:36 AM → 1:38 PM
87%
connections made
60%
arrive on time
86% on time · 4.6% cancel8:36 AM JFK → 10:00 AM DCA1h 24m
Republic 5750 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 18–19 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 2h 35m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it69% on time · 3.8% cancel12:35 PM DCA → 1:38 PM ORF1h 03m
PSA 5388 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–24 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 5750 + PSA 5388 on Aviasales#5 · 1 connection · 4h 15m · one ticket (American)
9:23 AM → 1:38 PM
82%
connections made
57%
arrive on time
71% on time · 4.1% cancel9:23 AM JFK → 11:00 AM DCA1h 37m
Republic 4671 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–18 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 1h 35m · 89% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it69% on time · 3.8% cancel12:35 PM DCA → 1:38 PM ORF1h 03m
PSA 5388 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–24 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 4671 + PSA 5388 on Aviasales#6 · 1 connection · 4h 47m · one ticket (American)
9:23 AM → 2:10 PM
88%
connections made
54%
arrive on time
71% on time · 4.1% cancel9:23 AM JFK → 11:00 AM DCA1h 37m
Republic 4671 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–18 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 2h 05m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it61% on time · 3.3% cancel1:05 PM DCA → 2:10 PM ORF1h 05m
PSA 5337 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–23 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 4671 + PSA 5337 on Aviasales#7 · 1 connection · 5h 41m · one ticket (American)
8:29 AM → 2:10 PM
91%
connections made
56%
arrive on time
79% on time · 4.0% cancel8:29 AM JFK → 9:59 AM DCA1h 30m
Republic 4538 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 3h 06m · 98% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it61% on time · 3.3% cancel1:05 PM DCA → 2:10 PM ORF1h 05m
PSA 5337 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–23 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 4538 + PSA 5337 on Aviasales#8 · 1 connection · 5h 34m · one ticket (American)
8:36 AM → 2:10 PM
89%
connections made
55%
arrive on time
86% on time · 4.6% cancel8:36 AM JFK → 10:00 AM DCA1h 24m
Republic 5750 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 18–19 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 3h 05m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it61% on time · 3.3% cancel1:05 PM DCA → 2:10 PM ORF1h 05m
PSA 5337 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 15–23 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 5750 + PSA 5337 on Aviasales#9 · 1 connection · 7h 46m · one ticket (American)
9:23 AM → 5:09 PM
91%
connections made
61%
arrive on time
71% on time · 4.1% cancel9:23 AM JFK → 11:00 AM DCA1h 37m
Republic 4671 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–18 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 4h 59m · 100% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it67% on time · 4.6% cancel3:59 PM DCA → 5:09 PM ORF1h 10m
PSA 5338 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ700 · 16–25 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 4671 + PSA 5338 on Aviasales#10 · 1 connection · 6h 06m · one ticket (American)
5:00 PM → 11:02 PM
84%
connections made
49%
arrive on time
70% on time · 5.3% cancel5:00 PM JFK → 6:33 PM DCA1h 33m
Republic 4348 · sold as American Eagle
Embraer E175 · 12–19 yrs oldConnect in DCA · 3h 27m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it58% on time · 8.0% cancel10:00 PM DCA → 11:02 PM ORF1h 06m
PSA 5662 · sold as American Eagle
Bombardier CRJ900 · 7–12 yrs oldFind this American trip Look for Republic 4348 + PSA 5662 on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)82%
733 flights · 85% on time as flown · 4.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon92%
335 flights · avg delay 8 min
- Noon to 3 PM86%
187 flights · avg delay 8 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
188 flights · avg delay 16 min
Best day: Wednesday (90%). Worst: Saturday (79%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
