ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
JFK → ORD
New York to Chicago: 1,966 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
70%
Cancelled
4.9%
avg delay 26 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
79% on time vs 61% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
American
70% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $128 (American 788 on 2026-10-20). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · JetBlue 905
6:00 AM → 7:44 AM2h 44m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (172 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 172 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 172 flights
Find JetBlue 905 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 2819
9:03 AM → 10:58 AM2h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 4.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (180 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.7% of the time (9 of 191).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 79% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 180 flights
Find American 2819 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 4680 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:10 PM → 2:13 PM3h 03m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 5.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (127 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.9% of the time (8 of 135).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Moderate track record · 127 flights
Find 12:10 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 4525 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
3:59 PM → 6:00 PM3h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 11.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 11.1% of the time (6 of 54).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Limited track record · 47 flights
Find 3:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 4450 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:40 AM → 9:48 AM3h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 7:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · American 3321
1:59 PM → 3:53 PM2h 54m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 72 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 95% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 3321 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · JetBlue 1205
9:25 AM → 11:25 AM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-30.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 31 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (18 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 79% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (18 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 18 flights
Find JetBlue 1205 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · American 1284
10:00 AM → 11:49 AM2h 49m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 64%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 64% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 79% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 1284 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Republic 4470 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:59 PM → 5:04 PM3h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find 2:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · JetBlue 2105
9:45 AM → 11:48 AM3h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-11.
61%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 51%
- Cancelled
- 4.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 32 min
- Arrived on time 51% of the time (59 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.8% of the time (3 of 62).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 79% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 59 flights
Find JetBlue 2105 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- American Airlines70%
566 flights · 72% on time as flown · 4.9% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)69%
720 flights · 75% on time as flown · 5.8% cancel
- JetBlue65%
550 flights · 68% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel
- Frontier Airlines58%
116 flights · 51% on time as flown · 4.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM77%
274 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 9 AM to noon79%
486 flights · avg delay 16 min
- Noon to 3 PM74%
363 flights · avg delay 20 min
- 3 to 6 PM64%
292 flights · avg delay 35 min
- 6 to 9 PM61%
512 flights · avg delay 39 min
Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (73%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
HPN → ORD 76% chance on time
Westchester County Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport · 1,477 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 67%
EWR → ORD 69% chance on time
Newark Liberty International Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport · 5,984 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 67%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure