ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
JFK → MSP
New York to Minneapolis: 773 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
80%
Cancelled
1.4%
avg delay 22 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
88% on time vs 60% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
79% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $189 (SY 568 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2414
12:00 PM → 2:17 PM3h 17m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (265 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 61% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Strong track record · 265 flights
Find Delta 2414 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 2390
7:15 AM → 9:30 AM3h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 1.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (239 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 60%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 239 flights
Find Delta 2390 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Delta 2245
6:27 PM → 8:53 PM3h 26m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 66%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 40 min
- Arrived on time 66% of the time (254 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 254 flights
Find Delta 2245 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines79%
773 flights · 80% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM88%
243 flights · avg delay 16 min
- 9 AM to noon87%
241 flights · avg delay 12 min
- 3 to 6 PM60%
141 flights · avg delay 43 min
- 6 to 9 PM73%
123 flights · avg delay 36 min
Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Saturday (76%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure