Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

JFK → DFW

New York to Dallas-Fort Worth: 2,042 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

2.6%

avg delay 24 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

85% on time vs 64% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

76% chance on time

Check JFK to DFW fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $104 (American 2234 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 1202

    7:04 AM → 10:06 AM4h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 14 flights

    Find American 1202 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 2234

    7:49 AM → 10:58 AM4h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    1.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (205 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 205 flights

    Find American 2234 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · American 2049

    11:29 AM → 2:28 PM3h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (73 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 73 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 73 flights

    Find American 2049 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · American 860

    8:25 AM → 11:40 AM4h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    3.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (139 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.5% of the time (5 of 144).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 139 flights

    Find American 860 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · American 2409

    2:40 PM → 5:58 PM4h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 14 flights

    Find American 2409 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 813

    6:48 AM → 9:50 AM4h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find American 813 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · American 1766

    2:29 PM → 5:38 PM4h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    2.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (303 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 303 flights

    Find American 1766 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · American 1849

    5:20 PM → 8:30 PM4h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find American 1849 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · American 606

    5:33 PM → 8:52 PM4h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    31 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 606 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · American 1953

    11:00 AM → 2:06 PM4h 07m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    2.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    41 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (349 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 349 flights

    Find American 1953 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Frontier Airlines76%

    199 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel

  • American Airlines75%

    1,379 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines69%

    464 flights · 72% on time as flown · 4.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    480 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 9 AM to noon78%

    80 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    704 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM69%

    514 flights · avg delay 35 min

  • 6 to 9 PM64%

    264 flights · avg delay 45 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (73%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • EWR → DFW 77% chance on time

    Newark Liberty International Airport to Dallas Fort Worth International Airport · 3,514 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 74%

    Rank flightsFares

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure