ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
EWR → SRQ
Newark to Sarasota/Bradenton: 937 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
80%
Cancelled
2.2%
avg delay 15 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
91% on time vs 45% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
81% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $180 (United 1324 on 2026-10-18). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · United 2631
7:30 AM → 10:30 AM3h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (338 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 45%).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 338 flights
Find United 2631 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · United 2016
8:09 PM → 11:15 PM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find United 2016 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · United 1324
8:53 PM → 11:59 PM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 3.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (95 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.1% of the time (3 of 98).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 95 flights
Find United 1324 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · United 1226
8:30 AM → 11:19 AM2h 49m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 45%).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find United 1226 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · United 2394
3:03 PM → 6:02 PM3h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (70 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 70 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 70 flights
Find United 2394 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)81%
126 flights · 87% on time as flown · 4.5% cancel
- United Airlines78%
811 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
361 flights · avg delay 5 min
- Noon to 3 PM83%
176 flights · avg delay 9 min
- 3 to 6 PM76%
33 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 6 to 9 PM72%
311 flights · avg delay 18 min
- After 9 PM45%
53 flights · avg delay 77 min
Best day: Tuesday (84%). Worst: Sunday (76%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
HPN → TPA 89% chance on time
Westchester County Airport to Tampa International Airport · 365 flights a year · 76 mi from your airports · yours: 78%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure