ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
EWR → ROC
Newark to Rochester: 633 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
86%
Cancelled
6.2%
avg delay 9 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
90% on time vs 80% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
81% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $125 (United 3649 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
4 nonstop. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
10:55 AM → 12:27 PM
86%
arrive on time
90% on time · 4.4% cancel10:55 AM EWR → 12:27 PM ROC1h 30m
Republic 3647 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 2–11 yrs oldFind 10:55 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 1h 24m
4:00 PM → 5:24 PM
82%
arrive on time
87% on time · 5.4% cancel4:00 PM EWR → 5:24 PM ROC1h 24m
Republic 3664 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 1–11 yrs oldFind 4:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Nonstop · 1h 33m
9:25 PM → 10:58 PM
78%
arrive on time
83% on time · 6.2% cancel9:25 PM EWR → 10:58 PM ROC1h 33m
Republic 3483 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 2–11 yrs oldFind 9:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Nonstop · 1h 19m
9:59 PM → 11:18 PM
75%
arrive on time
79% on time · 6.1% cancel9:59 PM EWR → 11:18 PM ROC1h 19m
Republic 3643 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 2–11 yrs oldFind 9:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)81%
600 flights · 86% on time as flown · 6.4% cancel
- United Airlines78%
33 flights · 76% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon90%
325 flights · avg delay 4 min
- 3 to 6 PM89%
48 flights · avg delay 4 min
- After 9 PM80%
250 flights · avg delay 17 min
Best day: Saturday (84%). Worst: Thursday (76%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
