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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

EWR → RIC

Newark to Richmond: 409 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

84%

Cancelled

5.1%

avg delay 11 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

100% on time vs 80% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

80% chance on time

Check EWR to RIC fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $226 (United 4176 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 3610 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    2:50 PM → 4:27 PM1h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Republic 3604; its record covers all of them.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (66 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 66 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 80% on time; 9 AM to noon: 100%).
    • Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 66 flights

    Find 2:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Republic 3639 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:12 AM → 9:49 AM1h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    9.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 8:12 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)80%

    409 flights · 84% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    139 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon100%

    32 flights · avg delay 0 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    50 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM81%

    187 flights · avg delay 14 min

Best day: Tuesday (94%). Worst: Monday (81%).

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure