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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

EWR → PHX

Newark to Phoenix: 2,483 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

2.1%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 74% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

United

79% chance on time

Check EWR to PHX fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $183 (United 2646 on 2026-10-20). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · United 2646

    6:30 AM → 9:07 AM5h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as United 1748; its record covers all of them.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 74%).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 87 flights

    Find United 2646 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 1282

    6:36 AM → 9:00 AM5h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (206 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 206 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 74%).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 206 flights

    Find American 1282 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · United 2158

    11:24 AM → 1:39 PM5h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find United 2158 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · United 1210

    12:36 PM → 3:08 PM5h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (196 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 196 flights

    Find United 1210 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · United 1129

    6:20 PM → 9:03 PM5h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 74% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find United 1129 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 2938

    6:30 AM → 9:16 AM5h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    4.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (139 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.1% of the time (6 of 145).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 74%).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 139 flights

    Find American 2938 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · American 1816

    5:29 PM → 7:55 PM5h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1418; its record covers all of them.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    2.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (40 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (40 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 40 flights

    Find American 1816 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · United 555

    8:15 PM → 10:58 PM5h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 56 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 74% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find United 555 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · United 1671

    7:38 PM → 10:15 PM5h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    4.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 74% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find United 1671 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · United 2858

    5:05 PM → 8:08 PM5h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 56 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find United 2858 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • United Airlines79%

    1,482 flights · 81% on time as flown · 1.9% cancel

  • American Airlines77%

    1,001 flights · 79% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    713 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon77%

    417 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • Noon to 3 PM84%

    298 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • 3 to 6 PM76%

    598 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 6 to 9 PM74%

    453 flights · avg delay 20 min

Best day: Wednesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (76%).

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure