ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
EWR → BNA
Newark to Nashville: 1,839 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
75%
Cancelled
3.0%
avg delay 17 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
87% on time vs 63% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
75% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $151 (United 3508 on 2026-11-29). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · United 1428
6:50 AM → 8:19 AM2h 29m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 2.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (239 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 239 flights
Find United 1428 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 3554 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
9:35 AM → 11:19 AM2h 44m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 3617; its record covers all of them.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (46 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 46 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (46 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 46 flights
Find 9:35 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · United 2376
11:29 AM → 1:02 PM2h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find United 2376 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · United 1616
10:55 AM → 12:18 PM2h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find United 1616 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 3539 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
1:08 PM → 2:45 PM2h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 1:08 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Republic 3527 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:00 PM → 3:37 PM2h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 4.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (40 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.8% of the time (2 of 42).
- Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 40 flights
Find 2:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · United 1608
1:00 PM → 2:21 PM2h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 0.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (206 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 206 flights
Find United 1608 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · United 1261
8:50 PM → 10:28 PM2h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 4.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (191 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.0% of the time (8 of 199).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 191 flights
Find United 1261 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · United 2454
4:13 PM → 5:37 PM2h 24m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
61%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (227 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 63% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
- Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 227 flights
Find United 2454 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)75%
377 flights · 78% on time as flown · 4.7% cancel
- United Airlines73%
1,355 flights · 75% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel
- Spirit Airlines72%
107 flights · 71% on time as flown · 3.3% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
278 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 9 AM to noon84%
339 flights · avg delay 11 min
- Noon to 3 PM77%
424 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 3 to 6 PM63%
409 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 6 to 9 PM72%
268 flights · avg delay 18 min
- After 9 PM67%
121 flights · avg delay 28 min
Best day: Tuesday (82%). Worst: Thursday (73%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure