ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
DTW → ORD
Detroit to Chicago: 5,961 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
72%
Cancelled
2.7%
avg delay 26 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
83% on time vs 54% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
78% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $112 (American 6465 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 3416 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:00 AM → 6:35 AM1h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 97%
- Cancelled
- 2.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 97% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 36 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Envoy 3387 · sold as American Eagle
5:00 AM → 5:23 AM1h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 98%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 98% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 5:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 3948 · sold as American Eagle
9:43 AM → 10:18 AM1h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 43 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find 9:43 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · SkyWest 5347 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
11:15 AM → 11:51 AM1h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 21 flights
Find 11:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Envoy 3670 · sold as American Eagle
10:30 AM → 11:00 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 53 flights
Find 10:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · American 1259
6:00 AM → 6:24 AM1h 24m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 11.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 11.6% of the time (5 of 43).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find American 1259 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · SkyWest 4754 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
5:48 AM → 6:20 AM1h 32m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 4.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (162 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.1% of the time (7 of 169).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 162 flights
Find 5:48 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Envoy 3397 · sold as American Eagle
5:45 AM → 6:10 AM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 6.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 64 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.7% of the time (2 of 30).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find 5:45 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Envoy 4103 · sold as American Eagle
10:17 AM → 10:55 AM1h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 10:17 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · United 1231
6:00 AM → 6:29 AM1h 29m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-28.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 43 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 16 flights
Find United 1231 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)78%
644 flights · 81% on time as flown · 3.5% cancel
- American Airlines74%
47 flights · 90% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)71%
786 flights · 75% on time as flown · 3.1% cancel
- Delta Air Lines70%
1,313 flights · 72% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)68%
2,383 flights · 69% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel
- United Airlines66%
766 flights · 68% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM79%
1,766 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 9 AM to noon83%
1,119 flights · avg delay 14 min
- Noon to 3 PM69%
1,077 flights · avg delay 24 min
- 3 to 6 PM65%
987 flights · avg delay 33 min
- 6 to 9 PM54%
962 flights · avg delay 42 min
Best day: Saturday (80%). Worst: Friday (75%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
DTW → MDW 77% chance on time
Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 1,388 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 70%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
