ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
DTW → JFK
Detroit to New York: 1,218 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
82%
Cancelled
2.6%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
92% on time vs 75% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
JetBlue
82% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $104 (JetBlue 1419 on 2026-11-06). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2751
10:08 AM → 11:59 AM1h 51m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 75%).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find Delta 2751 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · JetBlue 720
6:00 AM → 7:42 AM1h 47m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 3.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (105 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.7% of the time (4 of 109).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 105 flights
Find JetBlue 720 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Delta 2934
4:29 PM → 6:29 PM2h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 2.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (308 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 308 flights
Find Delta 2934 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Delta 1316
7:45 PM → 9:50 PM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 4.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find Delta 1316 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- JetBlue82%
445 flights · 85% on time as flown · 3.4% cancel
- Delta Air Lines78%
773 flights · 80% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM86%
373 flights · avg delay 12 min
- 9 AM to noon92%
224 flights · avg delay 8 min
- Noon to 3 PM84%
57 flights · avg delay 12 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
333 flights · avg delay 24 min
- After 9 PM75%
195 flights · avg delay 18 min
Best day: Tuesday (84%). Worst: Sunday (76%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure