ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
DCA → SRQ
Washington to Sarasota/Bradenton: 464 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
79%
Cancelled
2.2%
avg delay 15 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
82% on time vs 77% before 9 AM
Most reliable airline
American
78% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $169 (American 2584 on 2026-10-21). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 4403 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:59 AM → 1:40 PM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 4417; its record covers all of them.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 3.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (81 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.6% of the time (3 of 84).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; Before 9 AM: 77%).
- Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 81 flights
Find 10:59 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 1432
9:00 AM → 11:41 AM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 3.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (88 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.3% of the time (3 of 91).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; Before 9 AM: 77%).
- Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 88 flights
Find American 1432 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · American 2697
8:20 AM → 10:49 AM2h 29m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Before 9 AM: 77% on time; 9 AM to noon: 82%).
- Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 2697 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 4790 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
8:30 AM → 11:13 AM2h 43m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Before 9 AM: 77% on time; 9 AM to noon: 82%).
- Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 8:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- American Airlines78%
316 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)77%
132 flights · 79% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM77%
291 flights · avg delay 15 min
- 9 AM to noon82%
171 flights · avg delay 15 min
Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Thursday (74%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
