ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
BNA → JFK
Nashville to New York: 1,486 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
76%
Cancelled
4.6%
avg delay 18 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
87% on time vs 54% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
73% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $121 (JetBlue 274 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 4364 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
11:23 AM → 2:59 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 11:23 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 4712 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:07 PM → 3:36 PM2h 29m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 2.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (310 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 310 flights
Find 12:07 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · JetBlue 244
11:10 AM → 2:42 PM2h 32m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find JetBlue 244 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 4545 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:53 PM → 4:29 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 86% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 12:53 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 4465 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:28 AM → 1:59 PM2h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 10:28 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · JetBlue 974
6:40 AM → 9:59 AM2h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 7.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 7.8% of the time (4 of 51).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 54%).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 47 flights
Find JetBlue 974 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Republic 4447 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:00 AM → 9:30 AM2h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 3.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.3% of the time (1 of 30).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 54%).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · JetBlue 1174
8:50 AM → 12:10 PM2h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as JetBlue 174; its record covers all of them.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 69%
- Cancelled
- 6.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (326 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.0% of the time (21 of 348).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 54%).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 326 flights
Find JetBlue 1174 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Republic 4693 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:57 PM → 6:29 PM2h 32m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
62%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 62%
- Cancelled
- 8.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 32 min
- Arrived on time 62% of the time (223 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 8.9% of the time (22 of 246).
- Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 223 flights
Find 2:57 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)73%
942 flights · 76% on time as flown · 4.3% cancel
- JetBlue72%
544 flights · 76% on time as flown · 5.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
497 flights · avg delay 8 min
- 9 AM to noon83%
303 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM72%
399 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 3 to 6 PM54%
280 flights · avg delay 42 min
Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Thursday (77%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure