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Route on-time record

TYS to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Knoxville/Maryville (McGhee Tyson Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 1,021 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 70% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5653 at 12:01 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

TYS → DCA

Knoxville/Maryville to Washington: 1,021 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

70%

Cancelled

5.1%

avg delay 36 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

82% on time vs 53% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

72% chance on time

Check TYS to DCA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · PSA 5653 · sold as American Eagle

    12:01 PM → 1:44 PM1h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 12:01 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · PSA 5149 · sold as American Eagle

    6:00 AM → 7:42 AM1h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    4.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    33 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (331 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.3% of the time (15 of 349).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 82% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 53%).

    Strong track record · 331 flights

    Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · PSA 5647 · sold as American Eagle

    11:18 AM → 12:59 PM1h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5207; its record covers all of them.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (179 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).

    Moderate track record · 179 flights

    Find 11:18 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · PSA 5464 · sold as American Eagle

    5:11 PM → 6:59 PM1h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    59%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    4.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 53% on time; Before 9 AM: 82%).
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 42 flights

    Find 5:11 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · PSA 5458 · sold as American Eagle

    6:53 PM → 8:39 PM1h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    48%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    49%
    Cancelled
    16.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    43 min
    • Arrived on time 49% of the time (82 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 16.2% of the time (16 of 99).
    • 60% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 82 flights

    Find 6:53 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · PSA 5609 · sold as American Eagle

    5:02 PM → 6:44 PM1h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    47%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    35%
    Cancelled
    11.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    86 min
    • Arrived on time 35% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 53% on time; Before 9 AM: 82%).
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find 5:02 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)72%

    64 flights · 80% on time as flown · 5.0% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)66%

    951 flights · 69% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM82%

    345 flights · avg delay 33 min

  • 9 AM to noon71%

    301 flights · avg delay 26 min

  • Noon to 3 PM77%

    76 flights · avg delay 26 min

  • 3 to 6 PM53%

    286 flights · avg delay 53 min

Best day: Saturday (82%). Worst: Monday (74%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
67
F
68
M
67
A
73
M
79
J
79
J
75
A
81
S
83
O
83
N
85
D
73

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume11%
  • Severe weather10%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

TYS to DCA questions

What time of day is best to fly TYS to DCA?
Before 9 AM: 82% of flights arrived on time, against 53% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from TYS to DCA?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 64 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TYS to DCA?
March (67% on time); the best was November (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from TYS

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops