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Route on-time record

SYR to JFK: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Syracuse (Syracuse Hancock International Airport) to New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport). 510 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 81% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 5811 at 11:51 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

SYR → JFK

Syracuse to New York: 510 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

81%

Cancelled

4.1%

avg delay 17 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

91% on time vs 58% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

80% chance on time

Check SYR to JFK fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $101 (JetBlue 1515 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 5811 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    11:51 AM → 1:09 PM1h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 91% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 58%).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 24 flights

    Find 11:51 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · JetBlue 1515

    6:00 AM → 7:14 AM1h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    3.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (153 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.2% of the time (5 of 158).

    Moderate track record · 153 flights

    Find JetBlue 1515 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Republic 5835 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    11:43 AM → 12:59 PM1h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    2.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 91% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 58%).
    • Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 35 flights

    Find 11:43 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · JetBlue 315

    7:12 AM → 8:30 AM1h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    5.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (195 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.3% of the time (11 of 206).

    Moderate track record · 195 flights

    Find JetBlue 315 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · JetBlue 2802

    1:43 PM → 3:02 PM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-11.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    57%
    Cancelled
    5.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    46 min
    • Arrived on time 57% of the time (49 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.8% of the time (3 of 52).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 58% on time; 9 AM to noon: 91%).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 49 flights

    Find JetBlue 2802 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)80%

    93 flights · 85% on time as flown · 3.4% cancel

  • JetBlue77%

    417 flights · 80% on time as flown · 4.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM83%

    385 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 9 AM to noon91%

    65 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • Noon to 3 PM58%

    48 flights · avg delay 47 min

Best day: Thursday (86%). Worst: Saturday (80%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
81
M
85
A
92
M
91
J
81
J
74
A
81
S
86
O
91
N
86
D
77

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)38%
  • Late-arriving aircraft28%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume25%
  • Severe weather9%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

SYR to JFK questions

What time of day is best to fly SYR to JFK?
9 AM to noon: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 58% for departures noon to 3 PM.
Which airline is most on time from SYR to JFK?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 93 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on SYR to JFK?
July (74% on time); the best was April (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from SYR

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops