Route on-time record
SNA to JFK: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Santa Ana (John Wayne Orange County International Airport) to New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport). 401 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 556 at 9:10 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
SNA → JFK
Santa Ana to New York: 401 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
73%
Cancelled
2.2%
avg delay 29 min
Best time to leave
No clear winner
Most reliable airline
American
70% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $400 (American 3085 on 2026-11-18). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 556
9:10 PM → 5:40 AM5h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 4.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find Delta 556 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 2683
11:52 AM → 8:30 PM5h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2915; its record covers all of them.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (52 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 52 flights
Find American 2683 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · American 3085
1:00 PM → 9:28 PM5h 28m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 3.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (149 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.2% of the time (5 of 155).
Moderate track record · 149 flights
Find American 3085 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- American Airlines70%
376 flights · 72% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon75%
70 flights · avg delay 21 min
- Noon to 3 PM71%
305 flights · avg delay 32 min
Best day: Thursday (79%). Worst: Sunday (66%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
LAX → EWR 78% chance on time
Los Angeles International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 5,002 flights a year · 57 mi from your airports · yours: 71%
SNA → EWR 77% chance on time
John Wayne Orange County International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 1,092 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 71%
LAX → JFK 77% chance on time
Los Angeles International Airport to John F. Kennedy International Airport · 10,337 flights a year · 36 mi from your airports · yours: 71%
Or connect through a calmer hub
via PDX (Portland International Airport)
76% both legs on time- SNA to PDX on time 93%, PDX to JFK on time 84%.
- PDX rarely gets ground stops (1 in 12 months).
Book connections on one ticket and allow at least an hour at the hub. Leg odds are combined as independent, a rough guide.
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)40%
- Air traffic control and airport volume29%
- Late-arriving aircraft20%
- Severe weather10%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
SNA to JFK questions
- Which airline is most on time from SNA to JFK?
- American, with a season-adjusted 70% chance of operating and arriving on time over 376 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on SNA to JFK?
- July (51% on time); the best was October (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from SNA
- JFK to SNA (return)
- SNA to SFO 74%
- SNA to PHX 82%
- SNA to LAS 83%
- SNA to SEA 85%
- SNA to DEN 82%
- SNA to DFW 79%
- SNA to SJC 87%
- SNA to OAK 85%
- SNA to SMF 85%
- SNA to ORD 77%
- SNA to SLC 87%
- SNA to PDX 93%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops