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Route on-time record

SFO to BFL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

San Francisco (San Francisco International Airport) to Bakersfield (Meadows Field). 580 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 4671 at 10:45 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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SFO → BFL

San Francisco to Bakersfield: 580 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

0.7%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

76% on time vs 67% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

SkyWest

72% chance on time

Check SFO to BFL fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · SkyWest 4671 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    10:45 AM → 12:12 PM1h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (334 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 334 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 76% on time; After 9 PM: 67%).
    • Departs inside SFO's trouble window: 60% of its 334 ground stops and delay programs started between 7 AM and 1 PM.

    Strong track record · 334 flights

    Find 10:45 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · SkyWest 4737 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    10:48 PM → 12:15 AM1h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (210 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 67% on time; 9 AM to noon: 76%).
    • Departs outside SFO's trouble window (7 AM to 1 PM, when 60% of its 334 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 210 flights

    Find 10:48 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)72%

    580 flights · 73% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon76%

    365 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • After 9 PM67%

    215 flights · avg delay 28 min

Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Sunday (79%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
83
F
80
M
88
A
82
M
81
J
78
J
81
A
88
S
81
O
81
N
87
D
75

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft33%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)25%
  • Severe weather22%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume19%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from SFO to BFL…

SFO to BFL questions

What time of day is best to fly SFO to BFL?
9 AM to noon: 76% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures after 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from SFO to BFL?
SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 580 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on SFO to BFL?
December (75% on time); the best was August (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops