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Route on-time record

RSW to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Fort Myers (Southwest Florida International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,219 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 81% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2219 at 6:33 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

RSW → MSP

Fort Myers to Minneapolis: 1,219 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

81%

Cancelled

1.3%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

95% on time vs 61% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

80% chance on time

Check RSW to MSP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2219

    6:33 AM → 9:15 AM3h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    1.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (352 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 95% on time; After 9 PM: 61%).

    Strong track record · 352 flights

    Find Delta 2219 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 770

    11:20 AM → 2:03 PM3h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    1.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (97 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 97 flights

    Find Delta 770 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 1053

    2:54 PM → 5:34 PM3h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    5.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (34 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.6% of the time (2 of 36).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • 57% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 34 flights

    Find Delta 1053 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 1343

    2:31 PM → 5:10 PM3h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 24 flights

    Find Delta 1343 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2400

    6:15 PM → 9:00 PM3h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Delta 402, 2060; its record covers all of them.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    1.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    41 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (169 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).

    Moderate track record · 169 flights

    Find Delta 2400 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Delta 308

    9:16 PM → 11:56 PM3h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    8.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 8.3% of the time (3 of 36).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 95%).
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Delta 308 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines80%

    1,219 flights · 81% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM95%

    357 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • 9 AM to noon71%

    60 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    333 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 3 to 6 PM79%

    128 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 6 to 9 PM73%

    281 flights · avg delay 31 min

  • After 9 PM61%

    60 flights · avg delay 24 min

Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (80%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
83
F
82
M
73
A
86
M
81
J
86
J
85
A
91
S
93
O
92
N
89
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft41%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)38%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

RSW to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly RSW to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 95% of flights arrived on time, against 61% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from RSW to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,219 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on RSW to MSP?
March (73% on time); the best was September (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from RSW

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops