Route on-time record

MIA to MSY: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Miami (Miami International Airport) to New Orleans (Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport). 1,546 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2412 at 8:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MIA → MSY

Miami to New Orleans: 1,546 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

72%

Cancelled

1.6%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

90% on time vs 64% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

80% chance on time

Check MIA to MSY fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $112 (American 1898 on 2026-11-11). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · American 2412
8:00 AM → 9:09 AM2h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
87%
chance on time
On time (history)
95%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
3 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find American 2412 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · American 3231
7:30 AM → 8:50 AM2h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
85%
chance on time
On time (history)
93%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
2 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 30 flights
Find American 3231 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · American 2168
8:12 AM → 9:19 AM2h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
81%
chance on time
On time (history)
91%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
4 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 2168 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · American 2196
8:13 PM → 9:20 PM2h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
71%
Cancelled
4.1%
Avg arrival delay
27 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (70 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.1% of the time (3 of 73).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 70 flights
Find American 2196 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · American 2428
4:40 PM → 5:52 PM2h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
69%
chance on time
On time (history)
70%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
13 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside MIA's trouble window: 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find American 2428 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · American 2959
4:13 PM → 5:31 PM2h 18m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
68%
chance on time
On time (history)
72%
Cancelled
3.3%
Avg arrival delay
19 min
- Arrived on time 72% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.3% of the time (1 of 30).
- Departs inside MIA's trouble window: 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (29 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 29 flights
Find American 2959 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · American 1006
7:05 PM → 8:20 PM2h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
67%
chance on time
On time (history)
68%
Cancelled
2.2%
Avg arrival delay
26 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find American 1006 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · American 2355
10:15 PM → 11:22 PM2h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
66%
chance on time
On time (history)
68%
Cancelled
2.1%
Avg arrival delay
26 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (47 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 47 flights
Find American 2355 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · American 2552
10:55 PM → 11:59 PM2h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
62%
chance on time
On time (history)
60%
Cancelled
0.6%
Avg arrival delay
23 min
- Arrived on time 60% of the time (159 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 159 flights
Find American 2552 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · American 2936
10:42 PM → 11:59 PM2h 17m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
62%
chance on time
On time (history)
67%
Cancelled
3.7%
Avg arrival delay
20 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (131 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.7% of the time (5 of 136).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 131 flights
Find American 2936 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)80%
111 flights · 86% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel
American Airlines70%
1,321 flights · 71% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
Spirit Airlines67%
101 flights · 67% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM90%
198 flights · avg delay 10 min
9 AM to noon82%
210 flights · avg delay 11 min
3 to 6 PM69%
371 flights · avg delay 22 min
6 to 9 PM70%
332 flights · avg delay 18 min
After 9 PM64%
426 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Wednesday (77%). Worst: Sunday (65%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft41%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
Air traffic control and airport volume17%
Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MIA to MSY questions

What time of day is best to fly MIA to MSY?: Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MIA to MSY?: Envoy, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 111 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MIA to MSY?: July (60% on time); the best was November (81%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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