Route on-time record
MIA to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Miami (Miami International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,124 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1056 at 6:33 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MIA → MSP
Miami to Minneapolis: 1,124 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
72%
Cancelled
0.9%
avg delay 21 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
91% on time vs 62% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
76% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $98 (SY 416 on 2026-11-19). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 1056
6:33 AM → 9:29 AM3h 56m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find Delta 1056 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 2129
3:09 PM → 6:08 PM3h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MIA's trouble window: 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 361 flights
Find Delta 2129 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · American 458
7:51 PM → 10:52 PM4h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
57%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 59%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 59% of the time (180 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 182 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 180 flights
Find American 458 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines76%
759 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
- American Airlines63%
365 flights · 63% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
144 flights · avg delay 7 min
- Noon to 3 PM75%
358 flights · avg delay 20 min
- 6 to 9 PM66%
522 flights · avg delay 25 min
- After 9 PM62%
75 flights · avg delay 30 min
Best day: Tuesday (78%). Worst: Sunday (68%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
FLL → MSP 81% chance on time
Fort Lauderdale Hollywood International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field · 716 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 72%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft43%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)36%
- Air traffic control and airport volume15%
- Severe weather6%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MIA to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly MIA to MSP?
- Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 62% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MIA to MSP?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 759 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MIA to MSP?
- March (64% on time); the best was November (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MIA
- MSP to MIA (return)
- MIA to ATL 73%
- MIA to LGA 67%
- MIA to DFW 73%
- MIA to JFK 71%
- MIA to ORD 71%
- MIA to EWR 72%
- MIA to DCA 75%
- MIA to MCO 72%
- MIA to IAH 76%
- MIA to CLT 78%
- MIA to BOS 69%
- MIA to LAX 75%
Most on-time flights from MIA on every route →
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops