Route on-time record

MIA to DTW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Miami (Miami International Airport) to Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport). 1,830 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2638 at 8:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MIA → DTW

Miami to Detroit: 1,830 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

1.5%

avg delay 21 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

89% on time vs 59% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

77% chance on time

Check MIA to DTW fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $529 (American 2649 on 2026-10-18). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Delta 2638
8:00 AM → 11:06 AM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-07.
89%
chance on time
On time (history)
90%
Cancelled
0.3%
Avg arrival delay
8 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (340 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 59%).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 340 flights
Find Delta 2638 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · Delta 1568
12:13 PM → 3:20 PM3h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.
79%
chance on time
On time (history)
79%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
36 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find Delta 1568 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · Delta 1357
12:00 PM → 3:12 PM3h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
78%
chance on time
On time (history)
74%
Cancelled
2.8%
Avg arrival delay
20 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 35 flights
Find Delta 1357 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · Envoy 3351 · sold as American Eagle
2:03 PM → 5:25 PM3h 22m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
77%
chance on time
On time (history)
75%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
12 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (56 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 56 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside MIA's trouble window: 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 56 flights
Find 2:03 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · Delta 1468
12:40 PM → 3:52 PM3h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
On time (history)
76%
Cancelled
0.8%
Avg arrival delay
19 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (239 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 239 flights
Find Delta 1468 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · Delta 866
6:13 PM → 9:30 PM3h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
67%
chance on time
On time (history)
65%
Cancelled
1.4%
Avg arrival delay
24 min
- Arrived on time 65% of the time (145 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MIA's trouble window: 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 145 flights
Find Delta 866 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · Spirit 2081
9:14 AM → 12:20 PM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14.
66%
chance on time
On time (history)
71%
Cancelled
8.8%
Avg arrival delay
24 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 8.8% of the time (3 of 34).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (31 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find Spirit 2081 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · Frontier 1836
4:43 PM → 7:56 PM3h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-19.
65%
chance on time
On time (history)
68%
Cancelled
3.2%
Avg arrival delay
30 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (60 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.2% of the time (2 of 62).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
- Departs inside MIA's trouble window: 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 60 flights
Find Frontier 1836 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · American 2649
8:38 PM → 11:56 PM3h 18m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1268; its record covers all of them.
65%
chance on time
On time (history)
67%
Cancelled
1.4%
Avg arrival delay
23 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (359 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 359 flights
Find American 2649 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · Spirit 999
8:48 PM → 11:59 PM3h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.
58%
chance on time
On time (history)
58%
Cancelled
2.3%
Avg arrival delay
26 min
- Arrived on time 58% of the time (84 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MIA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 49% of its 45 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 84 flights
Find Spirit 999 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Delta Air Lines77%
992 flights · 78% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel
Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)75%
60 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel
Frontier Airlines70%
64 flights · 68% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
American Airlines68%
394 flights · 68% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
Spirit Airlines64%
310 flights · 63% on time as flown · 2.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM89%
399 flights · avg delay 9 min
9 AM to noon73%
101 flights · avg delay 16 min
Noon to 3 PM77%
436 flights · avg delay 20 min
3 to 6 PM59%
218 flights · avg delay 38 min
6 to 9 PM66%
656 flights · avg delay 23 min

Best day: Wednesday (79%). Worst: Sunday (67%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft40%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)36%
Air traffic control and airport volume21%
Severe weather3%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MIA to DTW…

MIA to DTW questions

What time of day is best to fly MIA to DTW?: Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MIA to DTW?: Delta, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 992 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MIA to DTW?: July (65% on time); the best was October (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MIA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Ask ATIS