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Route on-time record

MHT to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Manchester (Manchester-Boston Regional Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 1,134 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 70% arrived within 15 minutes and 6.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5160 at 5:44 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MHT → DCA

Manchester to Washington: 1,134 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

70%

Cancelled

6.2%

avg delay 28 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

84% on time vs 61% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

PSA

66% chance on time

Check MHT to DCA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $332 (American 5160 on 2026-10-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · PSA 5160 · sold as American Eagle

    5:44 AM → 7:39 AM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    5.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (341 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.8% of the time (21 of 363).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).

    Strong track record · 341 flights

    Find 5:44 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · PSA 5639 · sold as American Eagle

    4:00 PM → 6:01 PM2h 01m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    5.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    39 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (50 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.6% of the time (3 of 54).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 84%).
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 50 flights

    Find 4:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · PSA 5290 · sold as American Eagle

    12:03 PM → 1:59 PM1h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5331, 5150; its record covers all of them.

    63%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    5.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (339 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.3% of the time (19 of 359).
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 339 flights

    Find 12:03 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · PSA 5332 · sold as American Eagle

    5:07 PM → 7:09 PM2h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    62%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    2.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 84%).
    • 67% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (37 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find 5:07 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · PSA 5285 · sold as American Eagle

    5:32 PM → 7:31 PM1h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    60%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    11.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 84%).
    • 74% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find 5:32 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)66%

    1,132 flights · 70% on time as flown · 6.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM84%

    363 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • Noon to 3 PM66%

    436 flights · avg delay 32 min

  • 3 to 6 PM61%

    329 flights · avg delay 35 min

Best day: Saturday (81%). Worst: Friday (74%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • MHT → BWI 86% chance on time

    Manchester-Boston Regional Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 1,710 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 66%

  • BOS → IAD 81% chance on time

    Boston Logan International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport · 1,490 flights a year · 68 mi from your airports · yours: 66%

  • BOS → BWI 76% chance on time

    Boston Logan International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 3,605 flights a year · 75 mi from your airports · yours: 66%

  • BOS → DCA 71% chance on time

    Boston Logan International Airport to Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport · 9,071 flights a year · 45 mi from your airports · yours: 66%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
71
F
69
M
75
A
80
M
74
J
77
J
69
A
74
S
82
O
81
N
82
D
75

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)36%
  • Late-arriving aircraft35%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume24%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MHT to DCA questions

What time of day is best to fly MHT to DCA?
Before 9 AM: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 61% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MHT to DCA?
PSA, with a season-adjusted 66% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,132 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MHT to DCA?
February (69% on time); the best was November (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MHT

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops