Route on-time record
MHK to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Manhattan (Manhattan Regional Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 630 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 3721 at 7:04 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MHK → ORD
Manhattan to Chicago: 630 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
75%
Cancelled
3.0%
avg delay 30 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
83% on time vs 60% 9 AM to noon
Most reliable airline
Envoy
78% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $464 (American 3713 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Envoy 3721 · sold as American Eagle
7:04 AM → 9:05 AM2h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 9 AM to noon: 60%).
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 7:04 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Envoy 3926 · sold as American Eagle
6:51 AM → 8:50 AM1h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 9 AM to noon: 60%).
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 6:51 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 4151 · sold as American Eagle
4:57 PM → 6:59 PM2h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 43% of its 237 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 83% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 4:57 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Envoy 3406 · sold as American Eagle
5:36 PM → 7:41 PM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 6.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.8% of the time (3 of 44).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 43% of its 237 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 61% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 41 flights
Find 5:36 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)78%
265 flights · 82% on time as flown · 2.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM83%
329 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 9 AM to noon60%
37 flights · avg delay 72 min
- Noon to 3 PM61%
107 flights · avg delay 54 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
156 flights · avg delay 19 min
Best day: Wednesday (84%). Worst: Thursday (72%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
SLN → ORD 78% chance on time
Salina Municipal Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport · 362 flights a year · 58 mi from your airports · yours: 73%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)60%
- Late-arriving aircraft22%
- Air traffic control and airport volume13%
- Severe weather5%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MHK to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly MHK to ORD?
- Before 9 AM: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures 9 AM to noon. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MHK to ORD?
- Envoy, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 265 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MHK to ORD?
- December (60% on time); the best was September (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MHK
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops