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Route on-time record

MCO to SRQ: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Sarasota/Bradenton (Sarasota Bradenton International Airport). 544 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1644 at 10:15 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → SRQ

Orlando to Sarasota/Bradenton: 544 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

0.4%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

88% on time vs 56% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

74% chance on time

Check MCO to SRQ fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 1644

    10:15 AM → 11:05 AM50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 88% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 1644 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 4531

    10:25 AM → 11:35 AM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 88% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 98% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 4531 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 1554

    8:50 PM → 9:40 PM50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2756; its record covers all of them.

    57%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    49%
    Cancelled
    1.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    30 min
    • Arrived on time 49% of the time (77 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 77 flights

    Find Southwest 1554 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines74%

    544 flights · 75% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon88%

    261 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 6 to 9 PM64%

    227 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • After 9 PM56%

    55 flights · avg delay 32 min

Best day: Wednesday (84%). Worst: Friday (68%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2025 to May 2026. One year of data, so a single stormy month can stand out.

J
73
F
77
M
82
A
64
M
61
J
-
J
-
A
75
S
82
O
85
N
78
D
71

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft64%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume3%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MCO to SRQ…

MCO to SRQ questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to SRQ?
9 AM to noon: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures after 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to SRQ?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 544 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to SRQ?
May (61% on time); the best was October (85%), from one year of data, so one bad storm season can move a month.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops