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Route on-time record

MCO to SAN: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to San Diego (San Diego International Airport). 1,037 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Alaska 708 at 7:12 AM.

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MCO → SAN

Orlando to San Diego: 1,037 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

0.8%

avg delay 15 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

92% on time vs 60% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Alaska

79% chance on time

Check MCO to SAN fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $185 (Southwest 2825 on 2026-10-29). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Alaska 708

    7:12 AM → 9:53 AM5h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    2.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (136 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside SAN's trouble window: 66% of its 166 ground stops and delay programs started between 6 AM and noon.

    Moderate track record · 136 flights

    Find Alaska 708 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Southwest 4641

    6:40 AM → 8:55 AM5h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 38 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find Southwest 4641 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Alaska 397

    6:03 PM → 8:45 PM5h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (359 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 92%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 359 flights

    Find Alaska 397 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Southwest 3194

    5:50 PM → 8:10 PM5h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    60%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    58%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 58% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3194 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Alaska Airlines79%

    629 flights · 80% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines70%

    408 flights · 70% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM92%

    334 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 9 AM to noon78%

    94 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 3 to 6 PM72%

    373 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 6 to 9 PM60%

    228 flights · avg delay 27 min

Best day: Tuesday (78%). Worst: Sunday (68%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
74
F
84
M
75
A
81
M
77
J
64
J
60
A
69
S
67
O
72
N
69
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft46%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)22%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume21%
  • Severe weather10%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MCO to SAN…

MCO to SAN questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to SAN?
Before 9 AM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to SAN?
Alaska, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 629 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to SAN?
July (60% on time); the best was February (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops