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Route on-time record

MCO to RIC: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Richmond (Richmond International Airport). 1,227 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 69% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was JetBlue 570 at 7:30 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → RIC

Orlando to Richmond: 1,227 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

69%

Cancelled

2.0%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

95% on time vs 56% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

JetBlue

73% chance on time

Check MCO to RIC fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $114 (Southwest 3628 on 2026-11-13). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · JetBlue 570

    7:30 AM → 9:34 AM2h 04m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    2.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (180 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 95% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 180 flights

    Find JetBlue 570 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · JetBlue 670

    10:52 AM → 12:56 PM2h 04m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 87 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 87 flights

    Find JetBlue 670 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · JetBlue 770

    5:09 PM → 7:19 PM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (147 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 56% on time; Before 9 AM: 95%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 147 flights

    Find JetBlue 770 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · JetBlue 270

    2:06 PM → 4:12 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    3.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (183 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.2% of the time (6 of 189).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 183 flights

    Find JetBlue 270 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 3359

    3:35 PM → 5:40 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.

    61%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 56% on time; Before 9 AM: 95%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 3359 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 4133

    2:45 PM → 4:45 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    60%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    27 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 4133 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 3980

    8:15 PM → 10:20 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    56%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    56%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    33 min
    • Arrived on time 56% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Southwest 3980 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Spirit 876

    5:00 PM → 6:58 PM1h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14.

    51%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    52%
    Cancelled
    8.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    40 min
    • Arrived on time 52% of the time (64 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 8.5% of the time (6 of 71).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 56% on time; Before 9 AM: 95%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 64 flights

    Find Spirit 876 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 1464

    7:40 PM → 9:40 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    47%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    39%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    39 min
    • Arrived on time 39% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 79% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 1464 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • JetBlue73%

    668 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.8% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines61%

    327 flights · 61% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines61%

    228 flights · 61% on time as flown · 3.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM95%

    136 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    218 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • Noon to 3 PM69%

    298 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 3 to 6 PM56%

    319 flights · avg delay 33 min

  • 6 to 9 PM58%

    256 flights · avg delay 28 min

Best day: Tuesday (82%). Worst: Sunday (66%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
76
F
67
M
63
A
79
M
78
J
69
J
66
A
61
S
81
O
82
N
79
D
66

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft36%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)33%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume26%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MCO to RIC…

MCO to RIC questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to RIC?
Before 9 AM: 95% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to RIC?
JetBlue, with a season-adjusted 73% chance of operating and arriving on time over 668 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to RIC?
August (61% on time); the best was October (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops