Route on-time record
MCO to PNS: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Pensacola (Pensacola International Airport). 321 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 68% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Frontier 4661 at 2:14 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MCO → PNS
Orlando to Pensacola: 321 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
68%
Cancelled
3.1%
avg delay 20 min
Best time to leave
After 9 PM
73% on time vs 38% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Spirit
64% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $56 (Frontier 4661 on 2026-11-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Frontier 4661
2:14 PM → 2:51 PM1h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-17.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 73% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 27 flights
Find Frontier 4661 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Spirit 379
9:07 PM → 9:38 PM1h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.
67%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 71%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (17 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (After 9 PM: 73% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 38%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (17 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 17 flights
Find Spirit 379 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Spirit 377
3:07 PM → 3:36 PM1h 29m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Spirit 377 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Spirit 878
8:40 PM → 9:14 PM1h 34m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14.
56%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 57%
- Cancelled
- 6.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 29 min
- Arrived on time 57% of the time (91 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.2% of the time (6 of 97).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 38% on time; After 9 PM: 73%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 91 flights
Find Spirit 878 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Spirit Airlines64%
294 flights · 66% on time as flown · 3.3% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 3 to 6 PM66%
148 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 6 to 9 PM38%
39 flights · avg delay 45 min
- After 9 PM73%
85 flights · avg delay 13 min
Best day: Wednesday (83%). Worst: Monday (65%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
- Air traffic control and airport volume31%
- Late-arriving aircraft29%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MCO to PNS questions
- What time of day is best to fly MCO to PNS?
- After 9 PM: 73% of flights arrived on time, against 38% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from MCO to PNS?
- Spirit, with a season-adjusted 64% chance of operating and arriving on time over 294 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MCO to PNS?
- August (58% on time); the best was September (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MCO
- PNS to MCO (return)
- MCO to ATL 75%
- MCO to EWR 73%
- MCO to ORD 70%
- MCO to PHL 72%
- MCO to LGA 68%
- MCO to JFK 73%
- MCO to DFW 74%
- MCO to CLT 78%
- MCO to BWI 75%
- MCO to BOS 70%
- MCO to DCA 68%
- MCO to DEN 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops