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Route on-time record

MCO to ORF: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Norfolk (Norfolk International Airport). 815 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Frontier 2288 at 6:11 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → ORF

Orlando to Norfolk: 815 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

74%

Cancelled

2.8%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 53% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

80% chance on time

Check MCO to ORF fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $264 (Frontier 2288 on 2026-10-18). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Frontier 2288

    6:11 PM → 8:17 PM2h 06m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    1.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (157 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 53% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 157 flights

    Find Frontier 2288 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 2801

    8:55 PM → 10:55 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    4.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 53% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 66% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 22 flights

    Find Southwest 2801 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Spirit 544

    12:22 PM → 2:20 PM1h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-27.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    11.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Spirit 544 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 3170

    7:35 PM → 9:35 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    63%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 53% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 53 flights

    Find Southwest 3170 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Spirit 1531

    7:50 PM → 9:47 PM1h 57m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.

    42%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    42%
    Cancelled
    17.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    41 min
    • Arrived on time 42% of the time (64 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 17.9% of the time (14 of 78).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 53% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 64 flights

    Find Spirit 1531 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Frontier Airlines80%

    163 flights · 84% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines76%

    382 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines61%

    270 flights · 62% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    127 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon85%

    195 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    187 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 3 to 6 PM69%

    87 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • 6 to 9 PM53%

    219 flights · avg delay 29 min

Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Saturday (74%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
81
F
83
M
70
A
80
M
78
J
76
J
71
A
76
S
83
O
86
N
86
D
84

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)35%
  • Late-arriving aircraft32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume26%
  • Severe weather7%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MCO to ORF questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to ORF?
Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 53% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to ORF?
Frontier, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 163 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to ORF?
March (70% on time); the best was October (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops