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Route on-time record

MCO to BHM: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Birmingham (Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport). 848 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 69% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 512 at 8:45 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → BHM

Orlando to Birmingham: 848 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

69%

Cancelled

0.5%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 41% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

69% chance on time

Check MCO to BHM fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 512

    8:45 AM → 9:20 AM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 41%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 512 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 743

    8:20 AM → 9:05 AM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 41%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 743 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 3222

    3:55 PM → 4:35 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3222 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 4156

    12:15 PM → 1:00 PM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-03.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    7.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (13 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 13 flights

    Find Southwest 4156 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 1120

    7:50 PM → 8:30 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 1120 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 1192

    7:35 PM → 8:15 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-27.

    57%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    50%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 50% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find Southwest 1192 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 2384

    9:50 PM → 10:35 PM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    55%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    52%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    54 min
    • Arrived on time 52% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 41% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 2384 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 700

    8:10 PM → 8:50 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    55%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    44%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 44% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 61% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find Southwest 700 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines69%

    848 flights · 69% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    216 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    104 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    71 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM58%

    125 flights · avg delay 31 min

  • 6 to 9 PM58%

    244 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • After 9 PM41%

    88 flights · avg delay 41 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Saturday (69%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
77
F
78
M
66
A
81
M
73
J
67
J
54
A
66
S
81
O
79
N
84
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft53%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MCO to BHM questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to BHM?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 41% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to BHM?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 69% chance of operating and arriving on time over 848 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to BHM?
July (54% on time); the best was November (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops