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Route on-time record

IAD to TPA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Dulles (Washington Dulles International Airport) to Tampa (Tampa International Airport). 1,412 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was United 683 at 9:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

IAD → TPA

Dulles to Tampa: 1,412 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

79%

Cancelled

1.1%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

93% on time vs 64% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

United

81% chance on time

Check IAD to TPA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · United 683

    9:00 AM → 11:33 AM2h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as United 2641; its record covers all of them.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (368 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 93% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside IAD's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 75% of its 63 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 368 flights

    Find United 683 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · United 2277

    12:50 PM → 3:23 PM2h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (349 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside IAD's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 75% of its 63 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 349 flights

    Find United 2277 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · United 1140

    6:36 PM → 9:11 PM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (325 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside IAD's trouble window: 75% of its 63 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 325 flights

    Find United 1140 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Frontier 2953

    2:39 PM → 5:14 PM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    5.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (160 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.3% of the time (9 of 169).
    • Departs inside IAD's trouble window: 75% of its 63 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 160 flights

    Find Frontier 2953 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • United Airlines81%

    1,221 flights · 81% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines69%

    191 flights · 67% on time as flown · 3.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    253 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon93%

    149 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • Noon to 3 PM88%

    385 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 3 to 6 PM64%

    347 flights · avg delay 26 min

  • 6 to 9 PM66%

    167 flights · avg delay 29 min

  • After 9 PM78%

    111 flights · avg delay 20 min

Best day: Tuesday (86%). Worst: Sunday (77%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
80
F
83
M
78
A
88
M
81
J
70
J
64
A
76
S
85
O
91
N
90
D
84

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft44%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume29%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)18%
  • Severe weather8%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

IAD to TPA questions

What time of day is best to fly IAD to TPA?
9 AM to noon: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from IAD to TPA?
United, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,221 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on IAD to TPA?
July (64% on time); the best was October (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from IAD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops