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Route on-time record

HOU to MSY: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Houston (William P. Hobby Airport) to New Orleans (Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport). 2,265 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1260 at 8:05 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

HOU → MSY

Houston to New Orleans: 2,265 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

83%

Cancelled

0.3%

avg delay 10 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

97% on time vs 75% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

83% chance on time

Check HOU to MSY fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $199 (Southwest 3474 on 2026-10-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 1260

    8:05 AM → 9:15 AM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2041, 3246; its record covers all of them.

    95%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    97%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 97% of the time (64 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 64 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 97% on time; After 9 PM: 75%).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 64 flights

    Find Southwest 1260 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Southwest 2813

    8:45 AM → 10:00 AM1h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 97% on time; After 9 PM: 75%).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 24 flights

    Find Southwest 2813 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Southwest 4416

    6:45 AM → 7:50 AM1h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 97% on time; After 9 PM: 75%).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 4416 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Southwest 1546

    10:15 AM → 11:25 AM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2381; its record covers all of them.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 1546 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · Southwest 363

    9:25 AM → 10:35 AM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find Southwest 363 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · Southwest 3585

    9:50 PM → 11:00 PM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 75% on time; Before 9 AM: 97%).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 3585 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · Southwest 3250

    11:35 AM → 12:40 PM1h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Southwest 3250 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  8. #8 · Southwest 4713

    10:55 PM → 12:05 AM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    4.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 75% on time; Before 9 AM: 97%).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 24 flights

    Find Southwest 4713 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  9. #9 · Southwest 19

    1:25 PM → 2:40 PM1h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside HOU's trouble window: 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 19 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  10. #10 · Southwest 671

    7:10 PM → 8:20 PM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside HOU's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 80% of its 40 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 671 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines83%

    2,265 flights · 83% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM97%

    527 flights · avg delay 2 min

  • 9 AM to noon90%

    389 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • Noon to 3 PM76%

    373 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 3 to 6 PM77%

    249 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 6 to 9 PM76%

    490 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • After 9 PM75%

    237 flights · avg delay 13 min

Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Friday (80%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
84
F
88
M
82
A
84
M
77
J
75
J
74
A
87
S
88
O
84
N
90
D
85

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft54%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)34%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume7%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

HOU to MSY questions

What time of day is best to fly HOU to MSY?
Before 9 AM: 97% of flights arrived on time, against 75% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from HOU to MSY?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 83% chance of operating and arriving on time over 2,265 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on HOU to MSY?
July (74% on time); the best was November (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from HOU

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops