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Route on-time record

EYW to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Key West (Key West International Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 576 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4416 at 12:18 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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EYW → DCA

Key West to Washington: 576 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

2.3%

avg delay 14 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

80% on time vs 71% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

77% chance on time

Check EYW to DCA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 4416 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    12:18 PM → 3:14 PM2h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 12:18 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · American 3025

    12:04 PM → 2:52 PM2h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    2.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find American 3025 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Envoy 4167 · sold as American Eagle

    5:19 PM → 8:12 PM2h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    2.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (192 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 71% on time; 9 AM to noon: 80%).

    Moderate track record · 192 flights

    Find 5:19 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)77%

    217 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

  • American Airlines76%

    144 flights · 79% on time as flown · 3.5% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)72%

    215 flights · 72% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon80%

    139 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    226 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM71%

    206 flights · avg delay 16 min

Best day: Monday (85%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
75
F
61
M
73
A
82
M
79
J
76
J
76
A
83
S
91
O
85
N
81
D
79

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft41%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume23%
  • Severe weather7%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from EYW to DCA…

EYW to DCA questions

What time of day is best to fly EYW to DCA?
9 AM to noon: 80% of flights arrived on time, against 71% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from EYW to DCA?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 217 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on EYW to DCA?
February (61% on time); the best was September (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from EYW

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops