Route on-time record
EWR to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Newark (Newark Liberty International Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 333 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 66% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3488 at 4:00 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
EWR → DCA
Newark to Washington: 333 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
66%
Cancelled
3.6%
avg delay 20 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
90% on time vs 59% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
64% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $157 (United 4485 on 2026-11-10). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 3488 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
4:00 PM → 5:25 PM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 3443, 3656; its record covers all of them.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 68%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (77 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 77 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 59% on time; 9 AM to noon: 90%).
- Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 77 flights
Find 4:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)64%
333 flights · 66% on time as flown · 3.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon90%
48 flights · avg delay 4 min
- 3 to 6 PM59%
208 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 6 to 9 PM68%
68 flights · avg delay 29 min
Best day: Saturday (86%). Worst: Sunday (72%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
ISP → BWI 83% chance on time
Long Island MacArthur Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 1,201 flights a year · 86 mi from your airports · yours: 64%
EWR → IAD 71% chance on time
Newark Liberty International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport · 1,474 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 64%
LGA → IAD 69% chance on time
LaGuardia Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport · 979 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 64%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Air traffic control and airport volume58%
- Late-arriving aircraft22%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)20%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
EWR to DCA questions
- What time of day is best to fly EWR to DCA?
- 9 AM to noon: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from EWR to DCA?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 64% chance of operating and arriving on time over 333 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on EWR to DCA?
- February (67% on time); the best was September (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from EWR
- DCA to EWR (return)
- EWR to MCO 76%
- EWR to ATL 77%
- EWR to ORD 71%
- EWR to LAX 72%
- EWR to FLL 75%
- EWR to SFO 71%
- EWR to MIA 77%
- EWR to BOS 71%
- EWR to CLT 80%
- EWR to IAH 79%
- EWR to DTW 79%
- EWR to PBI 77%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops