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Route on-time record

CLT to SMF: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Charlotte (Charlotte Douglas International Airport) to Sacramento (Sacramento International Airport). 478 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2890 at 6:46 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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CLT → SMF

Charlotte to Sacramento: 478 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

1.7%

avg delay 18 min

Best time to leave

No clear winner

Most reliable airline

American

74% chance on time

Check CLT to SMF fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $491 (American 1994 on 2026-10-30). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2890

    6:46 PM → 9:14 PM5h 28m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside CLT's trouble window: 63% of its 48 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find American 2890 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 2508

    6:33 PM → 9:02 PM5h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    54%
    Cancelled
    2.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    36 min
    • Arrived on time 54% of the time (98 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside CLT's trouble window: 63% of its 48 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 98 flights

    Find American 2508 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • American Airlines74%

    478 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 3 to 6 PM72%

    177 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • 6 to 9 PM73%

    265 flights · avg delay 20 min

Best day: Wednesday (74%). Worst: Sunday (65%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
77
F
81
M
77
A
68
M
61
J
50
J
40
A
59
S
91
O
77
N
77
D
79

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft49%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Severe weather13%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume8%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from CLT to SMF…

CLT to SMF questions

Which airline is most on time from CLT to SMF?
American, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 478 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on CLT to SMF?
July (40% on time); the best was September (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops