Route on-time record
BHM to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Birmingham (Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 1,044 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5078 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BHM → DCA
Birmingham to Washington: 1,044 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
77%
Cancelled
4.7%
avg delay 23 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 62% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
79% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $289 (Southwest 467 on 2026-10-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · PSA 5078 · sold as American Eagle
6:00 AM → 9:16 AM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as PSA 5562; its record covers all of them.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 2.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (206 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 62%).
Strong track record · 206 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · PSA 5561 · sold as American Eagle
5:02 AM → 8:18 AM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 7.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 7.3% of the time (3 of 41).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 62%).
- Short track record (38 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find 5:02 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · PSA 5080 · sold as American Eagle
10:49 AM → 2:00 PM2h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5098; its record covers all of them.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find 10:49 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · PSA 5186 · sold as American Eagle
10:14 AM → 1:17 PM2h 03m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 66%
- Cancelled
- 5.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 32 min
- Arrived on time 66% of the time (139 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.4% of the time (8 of 147).
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 139 flights
Find 10:14 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · PSA 5554 · sold as American Eagle
4:42 PM → 8:00 PM2h 18m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 38 scheduled flights.
- 61% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (38 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find 4:42 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · PSA 5458 · sold as American Eagle
5:58 PM → 9:06 PM2h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
62%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 15.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 15.6% of the time (7 of 45).
- Short track record (38 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find 5:58 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · PSA 5452 · sold as American Eagle
5:33 PM → 8:49 PM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
60%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 38%
- Cancelled
- 11.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 48 min
- Arrived on time 38% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find 5:33 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)79%
120 flights · 85% on time as flown · 3.7% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)72%
924 flights · 76% on time as flown · 4.9% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
361 flights · avg delay 19 min
- 9 AM to noon75%
364 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 3 to 6 PM65%
217 flights · avg delay 27 min
- 6 to 9 PM62%
102 flights · avg delay 39 min
Best day: Saturday (85%). Worst: Friday (76%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BHM → BWI 79% chance on time
Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 346 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 73%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft42%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)35%
- Air traffic control and airport volume15%
- Severe weather8%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BHM to DCA questions
- What time of day is best to fly BHM to DCA?
- Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 62% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from BHM to DCA?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 120 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BHM to DCA?
- February (71% on time); the best was October (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BHM
- DCA to BHM (return)
- BHM to ATL 88%
- BHM to DFW 79%
- BHM to CLT 84%
- BHM to DEN 84%
- BHM to ORD 77%
- BHM to DAL 81%
- BHM to MCO 79%
- BHM to MIA 85%
- BHM to PHL 83%
- BHM to MDW 84%
- BHM to HOU 85%
- BHM to BNA 75%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops