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Route on-time record

BFL to PHX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Bakersfield (Meadows Field) to Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport). 1,272 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 6262 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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BFL → PHX

Bakersfield to Phoenix: 1,272 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

83%

Cancelled

1.7%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 77% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

SkyWest

81% chance on time

Check BFL to PHX fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · SkyWest 6262 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    6:00 AM → 7:45 AM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 4923; its record covers all of them.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 53 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 77%).

    Limited track record · 53 flights

    Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · SkyWest 4957 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    9:46 AM → 11:24 AM1h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    98%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 98% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 9:46 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · SkyWest 6235 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    4:42 PM → 6:24 PM1h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 77% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 4:42 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · SkyWest 6394 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    12:15 PM → 1:57 PM1h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 6218; its record covers all of them.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (124 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 124 scheduled flights.

    Moderate track record · 124 flights

    Find 12:15 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · SkyWest 4995 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    7:02 PM → 8:42 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (67 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 67 scheduled flights.

    Moderate track record · 67 flights

    Find 7:02 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)81%

    786 flights · 83% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    353 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    189 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • Noon to 3 PM82%

    364 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • 3 to 6 PM77%

    140 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • 6 to 9 PM77%

    225 flights · avg delay 18 min

Best day: Wednesday (89%). Worst: Sunday (83%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
80
F
87
M
86
A
84
M
90
J
85
J
89
A
91
S
90
O
88
N
83
D
87

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
  • Severe weather12%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume9%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from BFL to PHX…

BFL to PHX questions

What time of day is best to fly BFL to PHX?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 77% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BFL to PHX?
SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 786 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BFL to PHX?
January (80% on time); the best was August (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BFL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops